2028 Dem Presidential Primary Polling Average
Track the latest Democratic Primary Polling, in our first new post-2024 election feature. Stay tuned for more features coming in the near future, starting with a GOP Primary Polling average, followed by a House and Senate forecast in early 2025.
2024 Election Forecast and Polling
Election Dashboard
A new interactive dashboard that showcases our predictions for the Presidency, Senate, and House in one place. It spotlights the most important races and lets you explore the electoral map for the House.
October 7th - New Interactive Features Added
2024 Presidential Forecast
Our forecast predicts the chance that both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have of winning the election, and projects the winner of every state. We added two additional new features listed below - Simulate the Election, and Explore the Latest Prediction by State.
Presidential Forecast Update - New Features Added on September 4th
We’ve redesigned the House Forecast to make it far crisper, and added three brand new interactive pages (listed below). The forecast now includes far more information for each individual race, including trend lines, fundraising, and how the district voted in recent elections.
House Forecast Update - Three New Features
New Feature: Shift the Electoral Polling Map
Explore how the election would change if either Kamala Harris or Donald Trump were to gain a certain percentage across the board in all fifty states.
Wisconsin Senate Predictions
Wisconsin is one of the nation’s most competitive states, but Senator Tammy Baldwin has a strong record of winning, and will be hard for the GOP to oust.
Simulate the Senate Election
On June 3rd, we launched new interactive feature that lets you Simulate the Senate Election. Press the play button, and watch as races are called in each part of the country as polls begin to close.
Arizona Senate Forecast
Kari Lake and Republicans are on the hunt for a Senate seat in Arizona, and victory would likely give them the majority. Standing in their way is Democratic Congressman Ruben Gallego. Explore our Senate forecast for the race.
Ohio Senate Forecast
Explore our predictions for both the primary and the general election. Our primary coverage includes the latest polling, fundraising, and endorsements.
The Race to Replace George Santos - Special Election Forecast
Tom Suozzi has been elected to Congress. Explore how close our forecast came to predicting the right outcome.
Former NFL Linebacker Colin Allred is Rising in the Polls in Texas
Democrats may be able to survive losing Montana if they can win an upset in the Lone Star State.
Montana Senate Predictions
The Senate Majority could be decided by Montanans, who will choose whether to send Jon Tester, the Senator-Rancher, back to Washington DC for another term.
NH Governor Forecast
After Governor Sununu opted not to seek a fifth term, the New Hampshire Governor race instantly became one of the nation’s top political battlegrounds.
GOP Primary Election Forecast
We use the latest polling to show how many delegates Donald Trump and Nikki Haley are projected to win.
Michigan Senate Race Predictions
Four years after coming within 2% of victory, the GOP is aiming to win their first Senate race in Michigan since 1994. They’ll have a real shot in 2024, as this is only the second time in decades that Michigan has an open Senate seat.
Can Democrats Beat Senator Rick Scott in FL Senate Seat?
They start as the underdogs - but Rick Scott’s past support of sunsetting all federal programs - including Medicare and Social Security - gives Democrats an opening.
Track the Latest 2024 House Polls
Our new polling average that tracks the polling for every House race.
North Carolina Governor Race
Republicans have a real shot at flipping the NC Governor’s office, but the leading contender for the nomination has a history of extreme comments that could come back to bite him.
Pennsylvania Senate Forecast
Republicans are gunning for Senator Bob Casey, who could become the first Democrat in PA history to win a fourth Senate term.
Jacky Rosen favored to win Re-Election in our Early Nevada Senate Forecast
The GOP could be left choosing between a political newcomer with no general election experience in veteran Sam Brown, or a controversial former State Rep. Jim Marchant, who has lost two bids for higher office. In either case, Senator Jacky Rosen would begin with a clear edge.
The Party That Wins the White House in 2024 Could Sweep the House and Senate
The 2024 election could be a defining political moment for the United States, because the party that wins the Presidency could easily secure both Houses of Congress.
2024 Senate Polling Average
We redesigned the Senate Polling Average, which tracks dozens of potential general election matchups, and includes the latest primary polling and favorable/unfavorable ratings for each candidate.
Joe Biden Approval Rating
We redesigned our Biden Approval Rating Tracker to make it much easier to track the President’s support nationally and across the country.
RacetotheWH was one of the Nation’s Most Accurate in 2022
Our forecasts was once again one of the most accurate in the nation in 2022, successfully predicting a very competitive national environment, and calling the vast majority of Governor, House and Senate races right. Check our track record, and compare us to our top competitors.
To Keep the Senate, Democrats Likely Need Senator Sherrod Brown to Win Again in Ohio.
Our new Senate Forecast tracks Senator Brown’s chances of winning another term.