2022 House Election - Minnesota
Other RacetotheWH Forecast & Interactives
Recent electoral history suggests that Democrats should be losing the Minnesota 1st by about 14% in a neutral election, but Democrats did surprisingly well in a special election to fill the newly open seat, only losing the district by 4%. While it will be hard for Democrats to outperform expectations by even more in November there, it’s an encouraging sign for incumbent Democratic Representative Angie Craig in the neighboring Minnesota 2nd. Craig is on the GOP short list of targets after she won her last election by just 2%.
RacetotheWH launched in the 2020 election cycle, and our forecast was one of the nation's most accurate. It called over 93% of races right and outperformed almost all its top competitors at predicting the final margin in close Senate races. We’re projecting the result for all 34 Senate Races up in 2022.
RacetotheWH is already forecasting the entire 2021-2022 Gubernation Cycle. Click here for the national picture.
Senate Forecast
Predictions for the 2022 Senate Election, by one of the nation’s best forecasters. Updated after every poll.
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