Senate Primaries - Polling and Fundraising

Feature Created by Logan Phillips


RacetotheWH Forecast & Interactives:

We are tracking the latest primary polling and fundraising for every major Senate race in 2022, updated daily. Our polling average gives more weight to recent polls, from high-quality pollsters, and with large sample sizes. We correct for bias when dealing with campaign internal polls.

In 2020, RacetotheWH was one of the most accurate election forecasts in the nation, coming closer, on average, to predicting the final margin in Senate races than Nate Silver’s 538. We’re also tracking the polling for the general election, and have launched our forecast for the Senate and House.

Update 4/11: We just launched our first ever Senate Primary forecast for Pennsylvania. Features predictions for two of the most important primaries. John Fetterman tried to hold off Conor Lamb. Dr. Oz hopes to surge to first place after wining Donald Trump’s endorsement .

Senate Forecast

Predictions for the 2022 Senate election. In 2020, the forecast was one of the nation’s most accurate, almost perfectly predicting the results of both Georgia Senate Races months before the final election.

Polling Average

The polling average gives more weight to polls that are recent, from pollsters with a great track record, and to polls with large sample sizes. We adjust for bias. Did we miss a poll? Let us know at racetothewh@gmail.com.

Campaign Websites

Democrats:

Florida:

  1. Val Demings: https://valdemings.com/

  2. Alan Grayson: https://graysonforsenate.org/

  3. Ken Russell: https://kenrussellforflorida.com/

  4. William Sanchez: https://sanchezforsenate.com/

  5. Allen Ellison: https://allenellison.com/

  6. Allek Pastrana: https://voteallek.com/

  7. Coleman Watson: https://www.colemanwatson.com/

  8. Josue Larose: Missing

  9. Edward Abud: Missing

  10. Al Fox: Missing

  11. Joshual Weil: Missing

  12. Allek Pastrana: https://voteallek.com/

Missouri:

  1. Scott Sifton: https://scottsifton.com/home/

  2. Lucas Kunce: https://lucaskunce.com/

  3. Jewell Kelly: https://jewelkelly.com/

  4. Tim Shephard: https://tshepard.com/

  5. Spence Toder: https://spencertoder.com/

  6. Gena Ross: https://www.rossforuscongress.net/

North Carolina:

  1. Cheri Beasley: https://cheribeasley.com/

  2. Jeff Jackson: https://www.jeffjacksonnc.com/

  3. Erica Smith: https://ericaforus.com/

  4. Rett Newton: https://www.rettnewton.com/

  5. Richard Watkins: https://www.richardlwatkins.com/

Pennsylvania:

  1. John Fetterman: https://johnfetterman.com/

  2. Connor Lamb: Not Officially Running Yet

  3. Malcom Kenyatta: https://www.malcolmkenyatta.com/

  4. Val Arkoosh: https://www.valarkoosh.com/

  5. Sharif Street: https://streetforpa.com/

  6. Kevin Baumlin: https://www.drbaumlinforpa.com/

  7. John McGuigan: https://www.mcguiganforpa.com/

  8. Alexandria Khalil: http://www.alexkhalilforussenate.com/

  9. Eric Orts: https://www.friendsofericorts.com/

  10. Brandaun Dean: http://brandaundean.com/

Wisconsin:

  1. Mandela Barnes: https://mandelabarnes.com/

  2. Alex Lasry: https://alexlasry.com/

  3. Tom Nelson: https://nelsonforwi.com/

  4. Sarah Godlewski: https://sarahforwisconsin.com/

  5. Adam Murphy: https://murphyforwi.com/

  6. Chantia Lewis: https://www.chantialewis4senate.com/

  7. Peter Peckarsky: Missing

  8. Gillian Battino: https://battinoforsenate.us/

Republican Primaries

Alabama:

  1. Seff Bartos: https://jeffbartos.com/

  2. Sean Parnell: https://parnellforsenate.com/

  3. Carla Sands: https://www.carlasands.com/

  4. Craig Snyder: https://craigsnyderexploratorycommittee.com/

  5. Kathry Barnette: https://barnetteforsenate.com/

  6. Everett Stern: https://everettstern.com/

  7. Sean Gale: https://www.galeforsenate.com/

Arizona:

  1. Mark Brnovich: https://www.brnoforaz.com/

  2. Blake Masters: https://www.blakemasters.com/

  3. Michael McGuire: https://electmick.com/

  4. Jim Lamon: https://jimlamon.com/

  5. Robert Paveza: https://t.co/J3XznLLqWF?amp=1

Georgia:

  1. Herschel Walker:

  2. Bud Black: https://thefuturefund.com/

  3. Kelvin King: https://www.kelvinking.com/

  4. Latham Sadler: https://lathamsaddler.com/

Missouri:

  1. Eric Greitens: https://www.ericgreitens.com/

  2. Eric Schmit: https://schmittforsenate.com/

  3. Vicky Hartzler: https://www.vickyhartzler.com/

  4. John Brinkmann: Missing

  5. Jeremy Gundel: Missing

  6. Dan McQueen: Missing

  7. Mark McCloskey: https://www.mccloskeyforsenate.com/

  8. Deshon Porter: https://deshonporterforsenate.com/

New Hampshire:

  1. Don Bolduc: https://www.donbolduc.com/

North Carolina:

  1. Pat McCrory: https://www.patmccrory.com/

  2. Ted Budd: https://www.tedbudd.com/

  3. John Martin: Missing

  4. Jen Banwart: https://www.jen4sennc.com/

Ohio:

  1. Josh Mandel: https://www.joshmandel.com/

  2. Jane Timken: https://janetimkenforohio.com/

  3. JD Vance: https://jdvance.com/

  4. Mike Gibbons: https://www.gibbonsforohio.com/

  5. Bernie Moreno: www.BernieMoreno.com   

  6. MacKenzie Thompson: https://t.co/8xVcphMFtM?amp=1

  7. Neil Patel: https://neilpatelforussenate.com/

  8. Michael Leipold: https://leipold4senate.republican/index.html

  9. Mark Pukita: https://www.pukitaforsen ate2022.com/

Pennsylvania:

  1. Jeff Bartos: https://jeffbartos.com/

  2. Sean Parnell: https://parnellforsenate.com/

  3. Carla Sands: https://www.carlasands.com/

  4. Craig Snyder: https://craigsnyderexploratorycommittee.com/

  5. Kathry Barnette: https://barnetteforsenate.com/

  6. Everett Stern: https://everettstern.com/

  7. Sean Gale: https://www.galeforsenate.com/

  8. Dr. Mehmet Oz: https://doctoroz.com/

 

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