Senate Primaries - Polling and Fundraising
Feature Created by Logan Phillips
RacetotheWH Forecast & Interactives:
We are tracking the latest primary polling and fundraising for every major Senate race in 2022, updated daily. Our polling average gives more weight to recent polls, from high-quality pollsters, and with large sample sizes. We correct for bias when dealing with campaign internal polls.
In 2020, RacetotheWH was one of the most accurate election forecasts in the nation, coming closer, on average, to predicting the final margin in Senate races than Nate Silver’s 538. We’re also tracking the polling for the general election, and have launched our forecast for the Senate and House.
Update 4/11: We just launched our first ever Senate Primary forecast for Pennsylvania. Features predictions for two of the most important primaries. John Fetterman tried to hold off Conor Lamb. Dr. Oz hopes to surge to first place after wining Donald Trump’s endorsement .
Polling Average
The polling average gives more weight to polls that are recent, from pollsters with a great track record, and to polls with large sample sizes. We adjust for bias. Did we miss a poll? Let us know at racetothewh@gmail.com.
Campaign Websites
Democrats:
Florida:
Val Demings: https://valdemings.com/
Alan Grayson: https://graysonforsenate.org/
Ken Russell: https://kenrussellforflorida.com/
William Sanchez: https://sanchezforsenate.com/
Allen Ellison: https://allenellison.com/
Allek Pastrana: https://voteallek.com/
Coleman Watson: https://www.colemanwatson.com/
Josue Larose: Missing
Edward Abud: Missing
Al Fox: Missing
Joshual Weil: Missing
Allek Pastrana: https://voteallek.com/
Missouri:
Scott Sifton: https://scottsifton.com/home/
Lucas Kunce: https://lucaskunce.com/
Jewell Kelly: https://jewelkelly.com/
Tim Shephard: https://tshepard.com/
Spence Toder: https://spencertoder.com/
Gena Ross: https://www.rossforuscongress.net/
North Carolina:
Cheri Beasley: https://cheribeasley.com/
Jeff Jackson: https://www.jeffjacksonnc.com/
Erica Smith: https://ericaforus.com/
Rett Newton: https://www.rettnewton.com/
Richard Watkins: https://www.richardlwatkins.com/
Pennsylvania:
John Fetterman: https://johnfetterman.com/
Connor Lamb: Not Officially Running Yet
Malcom Kenyatta: https://www.malcolmkenyatta.com/
Val Arkoosh: https://www.valarkoosh.com/
Sharif Street: https://streetforpa.com/
Kevin Baumlin: https://www.drbaumlinforpa.com/
John McGuigan: https://www.mcguiganforpa.com/
Alexandria Khalil: http://www.alexkhalilforussenate.com/
Eric Orts: https://www.friendsofericorts.com/
Brandaun Dean: http://brandaundean.com/
Wisconsin:
Mandela Barnes: https://mandelabarnes.com/
Alex Lasry: https://alexlasry.com/
Tom Nelson: https://nelsonforwi.com/
Sarah Godlewski: https://sarahforwisconsin.com/
Adam Murphy: https://murphyforwi.com/
Chantia Lewis: https://www.chantialewis4senate.com/
Peter Peckarsky: Missing
Gillian Battino: https://battinoforsenate.us/
Republican Primaries
Alabama:
Seff Bartos: https://jeffbartos.com/
Sean Parnell: https://parnellforsenate.com/
Carla Sands: https://www.carlasands.com/
Craig Snyder: https://craigsnyderexploratorycommittee.com/
Kathry Barnette: https://barnetteforsenate.com/
Everett Stern: https://everettstern.com/
Sean Gale: https://www.galeforsenate.com/
Arizona:
Mark Brnovich: https://www.brnoforaz.com/
Blake Masters: https://www.blakemasters.com/
Michael McGuire: https://electmick.com/
Jim Lamon: https://jimlamon.com/
Robert Paveza: https://t.co/J3XznLLqWF?amp=1
Georgia:
Herschel Walker:
Bud Black: https://thefuturefund.com/
Kelvin King: https://www.kelvinking.com/
Latham Sadler: https://lathamsaddler.com/
Missouri:
Eric Greitens: https://www.ericgreitens.com/
Eric Schmit: https://schmittforsenate.com/
Vicky Hartzler: https://www.vickyhartzler.com/
John Brinkmann: Missing
Jeremy Gundel: Missing
Dan McQueen: Missing
Mark McCloskey: https://www.mccloskeyforsenate.com/
Deshon Porter: https://deshonporterforsenate.com/
New Hampshire:
Don Bolduc: https://www.donbolduc.com/
North Carolina:
Pat McCrory: https://www.patmccrory.com/
Ted Budd: https://www.tedbudd.com/
John Martin: Missing
Jen Banwart: https://www.jen4sennc.com/
Ohio:
Josh Mandel: https://www.joshmandel.com/
Jane Timken: https://janetimkenforohio.com/
JD Vance: https://jdvance.com/
Mike Gibbons: https://www.gibbonsforohio.com/
Bernie Moreno: www.BernieMoreno.com
MacKenzie Thompson: https://t.co/8xVcphMFtM?amp=1
Neil Patel: https://neilpatelforussenate.com/
Michael Leipold: https://leipold4senate.republican/index.html
Mark Pukita: https://www.pukitaforsen ate2022.com/
Pennsylvania:
Jeff Bartos: https://jeffbartos.com/
Sean Parnell: https://parnellforsenate.com/
Carla Sands: https://www.carlasands.com/
Craig Snyder: https://craigsnyderexploratorycommittee.com/
Kathry Barnette: https://barnetteforsenate.com/
Everett Stern: https://everettstern.com/
Sean Gale: https://www.galeforsenate.com/
Dr. Mehmet Oz: https://doctoroz.com/