About Me

My name is Logan Phillips, and I’ve long been passionate about politics. Both my parents grew up in single parent households below the poverty line, but were able to do well in life. Their economic mobility was in part possible to their hard work - but they also got signficant breaks along the way that made their success possible. These included affordable college loans that helped my Dad go to school, food stamps that helped my grandmother make ends meet without sacrificing the health of her family, and free glasses that helped my mom see the board in school. It’s clear that the lanes of economic mobility that enabled them to succeed are not nearly as widespread today, and never were there fully for people of color. That’s why I got engaged in politics - to try to ensure that the next generation has a better shot at success regardless of where or to who they are born to.
I’ve been engaged in politics since I was an undergraduate in college, and I’ve gone on to work on Hillary Clinton’s campaign, and to intern in President Obama’s White House. Over the last two years, I got my Graduate Degree in International Affairs from Columbia University. After the semester was shutdown and moved online due to Covid, I used my newfound free time to build a model to project the Presidential Election. I had already built a bit less sophisticated model for the Democrat primary, and to my surprise I outperformed most of the biggest names in politics, especially on the Iowa Caucus and on Super Tuesday.
This time around, I decided I was going to put my work out there. It took a lot more work, including collecting data from past elections going back to 2000 so that I could make sure the forecast was successful in past elections.

As I’m you can tell, I have a progressive bias, and I am proactively supporting Demcorats in the Senate and Joe Biden’s bid for President. Here’s what I can assure you though - I have spent a significant amount of effort to ensure that my bias is not reflected in my model. In fact, on average across both of my Forecast, the average state projections has leaned about 0.01% towards the Republican party. I’m never going to alter the results of anything in my forecast to make the results look rosier for the Democratic party - I’m only going to go where the data leads me. However, I’ll readily acknowledge that the articles themselves are not free of bias, and I think this is inescapable. I look at the world through a progressive lens, and my experience working in poltiics has been entirely on the Democratic end. However, I will always try my best to be fair and honest in everything I write.

Finally,