Predictions for Every 2024 Governor Race
Forecast and Graphics Designed by: Logan Phillips
The RacetotheWH Governor Forecast predicts the winner for each of the eleven governor races up in 2024. It takes into account the latest polling, each state’s recent electoral history, the incumbent’s performance in the last election, fundraising, the experience of both candidates, scandals, and the national polling. The forecast is data-driven, and has been rigorously tested on decades of past governor elections to ensure it’s as accurate as possible.
Track Record: Since RacetotheWH launched in 2020, it has had one of the strongest track records of any forecaster. In 2022, we came one race short of calling the exact number of House seats the GOP would win in the midterms. An independent review found our probabilities for House and Senate races were the most accurate of any forecaster..
Other Features: After exploring the Governor Forecast below, be sure to also check out our predictions for Presidential Election, the House and Senate, and track the latest Governor Polls.
24 Senate Forecast
Our new Senate Forecast breaks down the chances both parties have of securing a majority in 2024. It will be updated daily from now until the election.
More Interactive Features
The House Forecast projects the outcome of all 435 races around the country, and identifies the key races most likely to decide the majority.
Our Senate Forecast breaks down the chances both parties have of securing a majority in 2024. It will be updated daily from now until the election!
Track the latest polling for the Presidential Election in every state. Includes an interactive polling-based electoral college.