Illinois Governor Forecast & Polls
RacetotheWH Forecast & Interactives
In Illinois, Republicans nominated Farmer Darren Bailey to take on Governor J. B. Pritzker, hoping that a midterm election with a Democratic president will give them a shot in deep-blue Illinois. Farmer Darren Bailey was seen as a longshot early on against Aurora Mayor Richard Irvin, but he’s proven to be a juggernaut in the primary. However, party insiders fear that he could be too conservative, and could make an upset more difficult to pull off.
In 2020, RacetotheWH was one of the most accurate forecasts in the nation, and correctly called President Biden’s and Senator Kelly’s narrow Arizona victory months before the election.