Minnesota Governor Forecast & Polls
RacetotheWH Forecast & Interactives
Lost in the fan fair of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin voting red, Republicans came within only a few points of flipping Minnesota in 2016, losing the state by just 1.5%. Under the right conditions, Republicans can win in the Gopher State, as former two-term Governor Tim Pawlenty proved in 2002 and 2006. They are aiming to oust Democratic Governor Tim Walz, who is running for re-election in 2022 after winning his first time by 11.4%.
In 2020, RacetotheWH was one of the most accurate forecasts in the nation, and correctly called President Biden’s and Senator Kelly’s narrow Arizona victory months before the election.