2022 House Elections - Florida
Other RacetotheWH Forecast & Interactives
1. Florida Senate
2. Florida Governor
3. House Election Forecast
Republicans in Florida could be primed to pick up several seats in 2022, benefitting both from their recent gains in the state and from one of the most extreme gerrymanders in the country. A key race to watch is in South Florida, where Republicans famously outperformed expectations and kept the traditional Democratic stronghold competitive. 2022 will be a test of whether they can maintain their new support. Maria Elvira Salazar (R) is up for re-election after beating incumbent Donna Shalala (D) by 3.5%. She'll be the favorite to win re-election, but Democrats have a shot at an upset in a district that has a partisan lean of D+0.3%.
Republicans have the edge in two open races - the open FL-13th located in St. Petersburgh, and the FL-15th in Central Florida. Finally, on paper Democrats should win the FL-23rd seat comfortably, but it could be in play if Republicans continue to gain in South Florida and win the House in a red wave.
RacetotheWH launched in the 2020 election cycle, and our forecast was one of the nation's most accurate. It called over 93% of races right and outperformed almost all its top competitors at predicting the final margin in close Senate races. We’re projecting the result for all 34 Senate Races up in 2022.
RacetotheWH is already forecasting the entire 2021-2022 Gubernation Cycle. Click here for the national picture.
Senate Forecast
Predictions for the 2022 Senate Election, by one of the nation’s best forecasters. Updated after every poll.
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