2022 House Election - Montana
Other RacetotheWH Forecast & Interactives
For the first time since the 1990s, Montana has a second Congressional District. The MT-1 district is western-based and favors the Republican party by 12%. Republicans have nominated Ryan Zinke, a former Montana Congressman who served as President Trump’s Secretary of the Interior. Democrats have nominated Monica Tranel, a form Olympian who previously ran for the Montana Public Service Commission.
If Republican Ryan Zinke wins, the margin could be telling for future elections, because the MT-1 contains some favorable turf for Democrats, including Missoula, Gallatin, Flathead, and Glacier, which has a large Native American populace. Those are some of the fastest-growing areas of the state, which could potentially make the district more competitive by the end of the decade.
RacetotheWH launched in the 2020 election cycle, and our forecast was one of the nation's most accurate. It called over 93% of races right and outperformed almost all its top competitors at predicting the final margin in close Senate races. We’re projecting the result for all 34 Senate Races up in 2022.
RacetotheWH is already forecasting the entire 2021-2022 Gubernation Cycle. Click here for the national picture.
Senate Forecast
Predictions for the 2022 Senate Election, by one of the nation’s best forecasters. Updated after every poll.
Latest Articles
