2022 House Election - Ohio

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RacetotheWH Forecast & Interactives

1. House Forecast
2. Senate Forecast
3. Ohio Senate - Ryan v. Vance

The Buckeye state lunged to the right in the Trump era, and Republicans have tried to secure their advantage over the next decade with one of the more aggressive gerrymanders in the country. While the State Supreme Court forced them to reduce the gerrymander to a more reasonable level, at least for this cycle, they still have a significant advantage on the map. That has put Marcy Kaptur’s seat into play in the Ohio 9th, who would become the longest-serving woman in Congressional history if she can secure another term. Both parties will be competing in the Ohio 13th in North Eastern Ohio, where State House Minority Leader Emilia Sykes (D) is taking on attorney and former Miss Ohio winner Madison Gesiotto (R) for an open seat. It was left open by Tim Ryan, who opted to run for the Senate. Finally, Democrats have a pickup opportunity of their own in the Ohio 1st, where Steve Chabot (R) is running for re-election.

RacetotheWH launched in the 2020 election cycle, and our forecast was one of the nation's most accurate. It called over 93% of races right, and outperformed almost all its top competitors at predicting the final margin in close Senate races. We’re projecting the result for all 34 Senate Races up in 2022.