The House 2022 Election Forecast - Races by State

Click here for the Senate Forecast

Forecast Created by Logan Phillips

RacetotheWH Forecast & Interactives:

The National House Forecast breaks down the big picture for the 2022 House Elections. However, because there is so much information, a lot of races are left behind, and it’s harder to explore the House Races on a state-by-state level. This feature will let you focus on the states that matter most to you. You can see the projection and polling for every state’s slate of races, and the state’s overall political battleground. Like the National Forecast, this will be updated every day with the latest information.

Keep in mind that early on, there won’t be too much polling available for each state. To get a picture of all the polling that has been released, follow our House polling average. For much more information on how the House Forecast works, click here.

RacetotheWH launched in 2020 and correctly anticipated that Democrats would win both the Senate and White House as early as May, and that Biden would narrowly win Arizona and Georgia as early as June. On average, it was closer to the final result than the traditional gold standard, Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight. We are tracking the 2022 Senate Election, the Governor Elections, and feature full page forecast for many of the most important races in the election, including the Arizona Senate race and Georgia Governor election.