2022 House Election - Texas

We just Launched our Live Election Day Senate Forecast! Follow it here!

As one of the fastest-growing states in the nation, Texas now has 38 congressional seats, second only to California. However, there are only a handful of seats that are in play, thanks to a congressional map that largely aimed to lock in Republicans’ advantage in the state even as it drifts closer to the center every year. Republicans made major gains in 2020 with conservative Latinos in Southern Texas, which has put three additional districts in play. In the 28th, they hope to replace Henry Cuellar (D), who won a very tight primary against his former intern Jessica Cisneros. In the 15th, both parties will battle for an open seat in the Rio Grande Valley. Republicans re-nominated Monica de la Cruz, who only lost the seat by 3% two years ago. Finally, Congressman Vincente Gonzales (D) decided to run in the Texas 34th and will face Congresswoman Maya Flores (R), who just won a special election in June.

RacetotheWH launched in the 2020 election cycle, and our forecast was one of the nation's most accurate. It called over 93% of races right, and outperformed almost all its top competitors at predicting the final margin in close Senate races. We’re projecting the result for all 34 Senate Races up in 2022.