Colorado Senate Forecast & Polls
Other RacetotheWH Forecast
Colorado is the dream pickup for the GOP in the 2022 election cycle. It’s unlikely to be the decisive 50th vote, as it will be more challenging to flip than Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, or New Hampshire. However, if Republicans ride a big red wave into the 2022 election, they will have a shot at reaching the rocky mountains of the Centennial State. Senator Michael Bennet has proven to be a tough challenge for the GOP before in red waves. His victory was a rare bright spot in 2010 for Democrats, when he held off Republican Ken Buck by just 1.7%. While the state has moved to the left in the years since, Republicans do have the benefit of a stronger candidate in John O’Dea, a political newcomer running a more moderate campaign focused on winning the median Coloradan.
Our state forecast goes deeper on breaking down the race using data than anywhere else, including the latest polling, current fundraising levels, a map showing the partisan lean of each county, approval ratings for every candidate, and a trendline of the state’s shifting politics since 1965. In 2020, RacetotheWH was one of the most accurate forecasts in the nation. We excelled in Colorado, where we predicted John Hickenlooper would win the Senate seat by 9.3%. He won by 9.32%.