Washington Senate Forecast & Polls

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RacetotheWH Forecast & Interactives

Democratic Senator Patty Murray is running for re-election against Tiffany Smiley. Murray easily won her last re-election by 18%, but Republicans hope that she could be vulnerable in 2022, particularly after polling showed a closer than expected race. The race starts out as a longshot for Republicans, but if Republicans blow out Democrats in 2022, Washington could be their best target to flip a seat beyond the more competitive states of Arizona, Colorado, Georgia, Nevada, and New Hampshire. 

RacetotheWH launched in the 2020 election cycle, and our forecast was one of the nation's most accurate. It called over 93% of races right and was more accurate than all of its top competitors at predicting the final margin in close Senate races. We’re projecting the result for all 34 Senate Races up in 2022.