Impeachment Vote - Latest Update
By: Logan Phillips
Date: 2/12
We're on the brink of a historic impeachment vote, and while conviction remains unlikely, it's becoming increasingly clear that more Senators will vote for President Trump's conviction than any other prior impeachment trial in history.
Republican Senators Murkowski, Collins, and Romney have shown strong indication today that they are likely to vote for conviction. They will almost certainly be joined by all fifty Democrats. Chances are that Senator Ben Sasse and Pat Toomey will also vote to convict, but this is less certain.
The truest swing vote is Senator Bill Cassidy, who remains undecided. Senator Cassidy voted in favor of the constitutionality of the trial. He was still reviewing intensely legal memos arguing both sides of the case.
Additionally, 14 Republican Senators are technically still undecided. Realistically, each one of these Senators are more likely to acquit than convict. Nonetheless, more than a few have made it clear in recent days that they have found the defense's case very moving, and appear to be seriously considering the case.
The most likely Senators to cross the line in my estimation are Senator McConnell (Kentucky), Thune (South Dakota), Sullivan (Alaska), and Shelby (Alabama). You can track the latest updates in the Senate Trial Vote Count right here - updated live.
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