2022 House Election - Nevada
RacetotheWH Forecast & Interactives
Nevada Democrats took a big gamble when they designed the new congressional maps for the Silver State. To shore up their vulnerable incumbents, they shifted many of the democrats in Dina Titus’ Safe D seat into the more competitive 3rd and 4th districts. While this will increase the odds that Susie Lee and Steven Horsford survive a potentially tough cycle, they’ve also put Titus’ seat in play, and she has never run in a competitive district before. If Republicans run the table in Nevada, they could come away with all four of its House seats. The Silver State is a hard one to predict - it has voted for Democrats in the statewide office every chance it had since 2016 - but only by very slim margins. Sometimes, it bucks expectations, as it did in 2014 when it voted for Congressional Republicans 56% to 39% two years after voting for President Obama.
RacetotheWH launched in the 2020 election cycle, and our forecast was one of the nation's most accurate. It called over 93% of races right, and outperformed almost all its top competitors at predicting the final margin in close Senate races. We’re projecting the result for all 34 Senate Races up in 2022.
RacetotheWH is already forecasting the entire 2021-2022 Gubernation Cycle. Click here for the national picture.
Senate Forecast
Predictions for the 2022 Senate Election, by one of the nation’s best forecasters. Updated after every poll.
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