2022 House Election - Virginia
RacetotheWH Forecast & Interactives
Fresh off Glenn Youngkin’s big win in 2021, Republicans are hungry to build on their recent gains in Virginia, and they’ll have a few opportunities to make gains in 2022. Abigail Spanberger made national news when she beat Dave Brat in the formerly deep red VA-7th in the suburbs of Richmond, two years after Brat won re-election by over 15%. Now, Republicans are hoping to flip the district back in 2022. They’ll also be targeting Elaine Luria in the VA 2nd in Hampton Roads. Luria beat Representative Scott Taylor in back-to-back elections to flip and keep the seat in the last two cycles. Finally, if Republicans mount a serious red wave, they may be able to challenge Jennifer Wexton, who represents Loudon County in Northern Virginia. Democrats on the other hand have few targets after winning seven of the 11 districts in 2020, so playing defense effectively would constitute a successful cycle.
RacetotheWH launched in the 2020 election cycle, and our forecast was one of the nation's most accurate. It called over 93% of races right, and outperformed almost all its top competitors at predicting the final margin in close Senate races. We’re projecting the result for all 34 Senate Races up in 2022.
RacetotheWH is already forecasting the entire 2021-2022 Gubernation Cycle. Click here for the national picture.
Senate Forecast
Predictions for the 2022 Senate Election, by one of the nation’s best forecasters. Updated after every poll.
Latest Articles
