House 2022 Live Election Forecast
Looking for the GA Senate Runoff Forecast? Click here!
Our House Election Forecast has been upgraded into a Live Election Forecast that will predict every Congressional race in the Nation using the latest data from the election results. The forecast will shift to account for which party is consistently doing better across the country compared to our projections, and calculate the chance both have of winning the majority. We also have a Live Forecast for the Senate.
We are using the Associated Press's election calls to take races off the board. We wait until 98% of the vote has been counted to compare our projection to the near-final margin. The more data we have, the more influence election day data has on the forecast. For the final pre-election results projection, click here.
RacetotheWH launched in 2020 and on average, it was closer to the final result than the traditional gold standard, Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight. For in-depth analysis posted after each update to the House forecast, follow RacetotheWH founder Logan Phillips.
RacetotheWH has in-depth predictions for every Governor, Senate and House Race, polling for the 2024 primaries, and a Biden’s approval rating tracker. Explore the full list of features on our site map.
Joe Biden’s Approval Rating Map
Follow the latest polling and track Joe Biden's approval rating in every state in the nation.
GOP Primary Polling
All indications are that both Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis are planning to run for President, and we are tracking the latest polling nationally and in every state.
Dem Primary Polling
We’re tracking the latest polling for the 2024 Primary - both if Joe Biden decides to run for a second term, and if he opts out. Updated daily
Latest Articles
Georgia Senate Polling & Predictions
Herschel Walker has been rocked by a series of October surprises. Can he retake the Senate seat that Raphael Warnock won in 2022?
Simulate Election Night
Explore the Upgraded Senate Simulation, that runs through election night, with a new set of outcomes uploaded every day at midnight.
Wisconsin Senate Predictions and Polling - Ron Johnson Re-Election
Arizona Senate Predictions and Polling - Mark Kelly Re-Election
MLB Playoff Forecast
Our forecast was one of the most accurate in the regular season. Here’s our prediction for the playoffs.
Polling for the 2024 Dem Primary
We now have enough polls to get an early read on what the 2024 Presidential Primary could look like for Democrats.
Polling for the 2024 Rep Primary
All indications are that Ron DeSantis is running for President, and he could be facing Donald Trump.
PA Senate Predictions
John Fetterman and Dr. Oz are locked in a tight battle for the Senate seat that could decide the majority.