2022 House Election - Rhode Island
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In a surprise twist, the second Rhode Island Congressional district is very competitive in 2022. On paper - the political turf isn’t that different from the second district, as both lean 8% towards Democrats. However, while Congressman David Cicilline (D) is on track for a blowout victory in Western Rhode Island, Republicans Mayor of Cranston Allan Fung has a chance to break Democrats' stronghold on New England and flip his district. Fung lost the governorship in 2014 to Gina Raimondo (D) by just 5%, although he would go on to lose badly in 2018, a blue wave cycle for Democrats. He’s built strong name recognition, and Suffolk University released a poll in June showing Fung beating Seth Magaziner (D) by 6%. The fundamentals of the race point in the opposite direction as the early polling. Magaziner is running in a district that leans 8% towards Democrats, and he’s raised more money. That’s enough of an edge to make Democrats the early favorite to win this seat, but that could change if Fung continues to lead the polling heading into election day.
RacetotheWH launched in the 2020 election cycle, and our forecast was one of the nation's most accurate. It called over 93% of races right and outperformed almost all its top competitors at predicting the final margin in close Senate races. We’re projecting the result for all 34 Senate Races up in 2022.
RacetotheWH is already forecasting the entire 2021-2022 Gubernation Cycle. Click here for the national picture.
Senate Forecast
Predictions for the 2022 Senate Election, by one of the nation’s best forecasters. Updated after every poll.
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